Publication

Protected areas in 2023 : scenarios for an uncertain future, presented to the Vth World Congress on Protected Areas, Durban, South Africa, September 2003

Abstract

As part of the preparations for the Vth World Parks Congress, a high-level team was assembled by IUCN to consider the long-term future of protected areas. They prepared three scenarios, plausible futures, rather than predictions: The Triple Bottom Line, where economic growth, social well-being and environmental sustainability were given equal treatment; the Rainbow, a world where globalization was replaced by regional alliances; and But Your Eden, where economics ruled. All three contained surprises.